Wimbledon Quarterfinal Day 1 Tips: Best Bets From the Last Eight

Wimbledon's quarterfinals are split across two days this year, and Tuesday's card is stacked. Four matches, four genuine storylines: a defending champion against a 36-year-old debutant, a seven-time champion chasing another semi-final, and two American teammates fighting for a first Wimbledon final four appearance. Here's our breakdown of all four Day 1 quarterfinals, with a specific best bet for each.

Day 1 Schedule

Start times are approximate for the second match on each court and depend on how long the first match runs. Check the Wimbledon order of play for exact confirmed times on the day.

Best Bet of the Day

Jannik Sinner to win in straight sets. The defending champion has never lost to Struff, hasn't dropped a set in four rounds when it's mattered most, and Struff arrives as the oldest first-time Grand Slam quarterfinalist in the Open Era at 36, likely carrying fatigue after needing three five-setters to get here. It's the shortest price on the card for good reason, but it's also the most confident pick.

Match 1: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Sinner has been building toward top form across the tournament and has an unblemished head-to-head record against Struff. Struff's serve-driven game can occasionally steal a set, but he's coming off consecutive five-setters and a dramatic comeback from two sets down against Hubert Hurkacz in the fourth round, a huge emotional and physical high, but a lot of tennis to recover from in two days.

• Best bet: Sinner to win in straight sets.
• Alternative: Struff to win a set, his best realistic outcome given the fatigue factor.

Check current pricing on the men's singles matches page at Sportsbet.io.

Match 2: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff

This is the day's toughest match to call. Gauff is the bigger name with two Grand Slam titles, but Pegula leads their head-to-head 5-3, has won four of their last six meetings, and beat Gauff on grass in straight sets at Berlin in 2024. Pegula is also in excellent recent form, 7-1 on grass in 2026 and this is a rematch of a surface where she's had the better of their rivalry lately.

• Best bet: Pegula to win.
• Alternative: Total sets over 2.5, this head-to-head has produced tight matches before, and a decider wouldn't be a surprise.

Check current pricing on the women's singles matches page at Sportsbet.io.

Match 3: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova

Osaka's run through this tournament has been the standout story of the fortnight, a statement win over world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in the fourth round, and a record that shows when she reaches a Grand Slam quarterfinal, she goes on to win the whole tournament often. With Sabalenka, Rybakina, Swiatek and Andreeva all already out, she's emerged as a leading contender for the title itself.

Muchova is a dangerous, versatile opponent, but she's lost two of her last three meetings with Osaka, and her one win in that stretch came via retirement rather than on merit. She also needed a tough three-setter against 2024 champion Barbora Krejcikova just to reach this stage.

• Best bet: Osaka to win.
• Alternative: Osaka to win in straight sets, her form suggests she can close this out efficiently.

Check current pricing on the women's singles matches page at Sportsbet.io.

Match 4: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Djokovic is the favourite and remains, by Elo rating, the tour's third-best grass-court player, but he hasn't played a single grass-court tournament between the French Open and Wimbledon, and he's dropped a set in three of his four matches so far. Auger-Aliassime is playing his best tennis in years, backing up a five-set win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and the head-to-head between the two is tied 1-1.

• Best bet: Djokovic to win, but not to be underestimated, this is closer than the odds might suggest.
• Alternative: Auger-Aliassime to win a set, realistic given how competitive his recent matches have been.

Check current pricing on the men's singles matches page at Sportsbet.io.

How to Bet on Wimbledon Quarterfinal Day

• Match winner: The simplest market for each of today's four matches, check the men's singles matches page and women's singles matches page.
• Set betting and total sets: Useful alternatives when you're confident in a winner but want better value than a short-priced favourite.
• In-play betting: With four matches running back-to-back across two courts, odds will move throughout the afternoon, follow the action live on the tennis in-play page.

Odds move quickly as each match gets underway, so treat the tips above as a starting point, not a locked-in number, so always check live pricing before you bet.

FAQs: Wimbledon Quarterfinal Day 1

Who is playing in the Wimbledon quarterfinals on Tuesday 7 July?

Four matches: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff, Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff, Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova, and Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic.

What is the best bet for Wimbledon quarterfinal day 1?

Jannik Sinner to beat Jan-Lennard Struff in straight sets is the standout pick. Sinner has never lost to Struff, and Struff is likely fatigued after three five-set matches to reach this stage.

Why are the Wimbledon quarterfinals split across two days?

The four matches decided from Sunday's fourth round play on Tuesday (Day 1), while the four matches decided from Monday's fourth round play on Wednesday (Day 2), a scheduling structure Wimbledon uses to spread the quarterfinal round.

Is Naomi Osaka favourite to win Wimbledon 2026?

With Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva all eliminated, Osaka has emerged as one of the leading contenders in the outright market following her run to the quarterfinals.

Where can I bet on today's Wimbledon quarterfinals?

You can check live odds on the men's singles matches page and women's singles matches page at Sportsbet.io, with in-play markets on the tennis in-play page once matches are underway.

Get Your Bets in Before Play Starts

Four quarterfinals, four best bets, and a title picture that's wide open on the women's side. Check the latest odds on the men's singles matches page and women's singles matches page, follow the action live on the tennis in-play page, and see the current promotions available at Sportsbet.io.

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